ETF Trend System Rule Tester - TrendPilot · ETF Trend Trading Systems

Step 1: Choose your ETF universe

1 ETF — a single broad equity fund 3 ETFs — U.S. equity, international, bond 5 ETFs — equity, international, bond, commodity, cash

Step 2: Pick your trend signal

200-day moving average — hold above the line, step aside below 50/200 crossover — buy when the 50-day crosses above the 200-day 20-day breakout — buy new highs, exit new lows 12-month momentum — hold the strongest, rotate out of laggards

Step 3: How often do you rebalance?

Weekly — more trades, more costs Monthly — the common default Quarterly — slower to react

Step 4: How do you size positions?

Equal weight — split capital evenly Volatility-weighted — smaller in more volatile ETFs

Step 5: What are your trading costs?

Low — commission-free, tight spreads High — commissions or wide spreads